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7

Long Legged Queen

5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 80

Belmont Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength4%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Aqueduct 31/01/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 83 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark31/01/2025 · OR 83 par31/01C6OR 83C7 @ Aqueduct 02/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 72 · 6f110y Fas 125 · below its mark02/03/2025 · OR 72 parC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 09/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 68 · 6f 124 · beat its mark09/05/2025 · OR 68 par9/05C6OR 68C5 @ Belmont At The Big A 21/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 71 · 6f Fm 125 · beat its mark21/06/2025 · OR 71 parC5 @ Saratoga 23/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 75 · 5f110y Fm 124 · beat its mark23/08/2025 · OR 75 par23/08C5OR 75C8 @ Belmont At The Big A 26/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 79 · 6f Gd 123 · below its mark26/09/2025 · OR 79 parC7 @ Belmont At The Big A 24/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 82 · 6f Fm 123 · beat its mark24/10/2025 · OR 82 par24/10C7OR 82C5 @ Aqueduct 15/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 85 · 6f Fm 122 · beat its mark15/11/2025 · OR 85 parC5 @ Aqueduct 16/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 79 · 6f Fm 126 · beat its mark16/04/2026 · OR 79 par16/04C5OR 79projClass-projected finish: 4th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-16Aqueduct?5th5th0
2025-11-15Aqueduct?2nd2nd0
2025-10-24Belmont At The Big A?1st3rd−2
2025-09-26Belmont At The Big A?5th8th−3
2025-08-23Saratoga?7th7th0
2025-06-21Belmont At The Big A?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0121/0624/1016/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength97%

Delivery trend +4.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/01/20252nd3/184%75%-0.09
02/03/20255th11/486%33%-0.52
09/05/20251st8/1196%100%+0.04
21/06/20254th10/147%50%+0.03
23/08/20257th20/10%45%+0.45
26/09/20255th12/137%56%+0.19
24/10/20251st12/137%100%+0.63
15/11/20252nd3/184%89%+0.05
16/04/20265th5/174%56%-0.18