6

Maria Callas

3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 87

Belmont Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 31/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 11931/08C6C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 03/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 71 · 6f Fm 119 · beat its mark03/10/2025 · OR 71 par3/10C6OR 71C5 @ Aqueduct 13/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 78 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/11/2025 · OR 78 par13/11C5OR 78C5 @ Belmont At The Big A 28/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 85 · 6f Fm 121 · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 85 par28/06C5OR 85C5 @ Saratoga 22/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 86 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 86 par22/08C5OR 86projClass-projected finish: 6th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Saratoga?6th6th0
2026-06-28Belmont At The Big A?3rd3rd0
2025-11-13Aqueduct?5th4th+1
2025-10-03Belmont At The Big A?1st2nd1
2025-08-31Saratoga?9th10th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/083/1013/1128/0622/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +12.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/08/20259th4/696%11%-0.85
03/10/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
13/11/20255th6/168%50%-0.18
28/06/20263rd7/163%82%+0.19
22/08/20266th5/174%50%-0.24