She's Our Tiz
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 82
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 7f
#12
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-22 | Saratoga | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-07-16 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-05-17 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-04-24 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2024 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 22/09/2024 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/10/2024 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 24/04/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 82% | +0.08 |
| 17/05/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 78% | -0.09 |
| 16/07/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 22/08/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 45% | +0.30 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |