4
Sinead
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 82
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 7f
#13
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-06-29 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-04-24 | Aqueduct | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-03-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 4-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength23%
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2024 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 18% | -0.42 |
| 20/10/2024 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 08/02/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 14/03/2025 | 8th | 9/4 | 88% | 22% | -0.66 |
| 24/04/2025 | 8th | 15/8 | 90% | 36% | -0.54 |
| 29/06/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 20/09/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 03/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |