2
Keira Smart
6yo Mare · 0-0
Cavaillon · Prix Hyacinte Et Mario Bonet - Attele · 1m 4f 121y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength57%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 7
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Vichy | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Marseille-borely | 6 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Marseille-borely | 5 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-01-17 | Lyon La Soie | 6 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-01-05 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 5th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength80%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 11/11/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 53% | +0.16 |
| 10/12/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 05/01/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 17/01/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 70% | +0.04 |
| 20/03/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 23% | -0.03 |
| 24/04/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 11/05/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 25/08/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 64% | -0.05 |