3

Kacy And Gepe

6yo Mare · 10-3

Cavaillon · Prix K9sp - Monte · 1m 4f 203y

#5

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength4%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 7
Recent avg: C7.0
Today: 6
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Marseille-borely 21/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 021/03C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 01/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 0C0 @ Hyeres 10/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 010/05C?C0 @ Hyeres 20/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Hyeres 13/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 013/08C?C0 @ Hyeres 03/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 07 @ Hyeres 01/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 01/057C0 @ Hyeres 16/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Hyeres 26/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 026/06C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-26Hyeres?6th6th0
2026-06-16Hyeres?6th6th0
2026-05-01Hyeres71st2nd1
2025-10-17Marseille-borely?0
2025-10-03Hyeres?4th4th0
2025-08-13Hyeres?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0320/071/0526/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength99%

Delivery trend -4.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/03/20255th20/10%60%+0.60
01/04/20254th25/10%75%+0.75
10/05/20254th9/153%63%+0.10
20/07/20255th20/10%64%+0.64
13/08/20254th15/261%67%+0.06
03/10/20254th17/255%67%+0.11
01/05/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
16/06/20266th25/10%38%+0.38
26/06/20266th8/158%58%+0.00