6
King Dry
6yo Gelding · 8-13
Cavaillon · Prix K9sp - Monte · 1m 4f 203y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength11%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-28 | Sable-Sur-Sarthe | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Agen | 3 | +3 | ||
| 2026-05-17 | Nimes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Marseille-borely | 5 | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +10.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/2025 | 12th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 07/07/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 03/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 17/01/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 55% | -0.06 |
| 12/02/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 08/03/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 28/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 69% | +0.21 |
| 03/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |