2
Love Me De Cerisy
5yo Gelding · 10-1
Cavaillon · Prix K9sp - Monte · 1m 4f 203y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
84%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Divonne Les Bains | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Saint Galmier | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Vichy | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Nancy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Toulouse | 6 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -0.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 88% | +0.45 |
| 21/08/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 16/09/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 70% | -0.04 |
| 18/11/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 29/05/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 78% | +0.23 |
| 30/06/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 21/07/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 21/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |