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5

Nacre Du Vallon

3yo Filly · 0-0

Cavaillon · Prix De La Federation Nationale - Attele · 1m 4f 203y

#5

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chartres 03/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 03/11C?C0 @ Enghien 27/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 027/04C?C0 @ Hyeres 12/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 012/08C?4 @ Marseille-borely 27/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 027/084projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Marseille-borely44th5th−1
2026-08-12Hyeres?3rd3rd0
2026-08-03Cagnes-sur-Mer?0
2026-04-27Enghien?7th7th0
2025-11-03Chartres?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/1127/0412/0827/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +21.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/11/20255th13/266%64%-0.02
27/04/20267th15/261%54%-0.07
12/08/20263rd6/168%71%+0.03
27/08/20264th40/10%67%+0.67