1

Nina Era

3yo Filly · 0-0

Cavaillon · Prix De La Federation Nationale - Attele · 1m 4f 203y

#9

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Salon-De-Provence 21/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 021/054C0 @ Hyeres 16/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 016/06C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 06/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 06/07C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 03/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 03/08C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Hyeres?0
2026-08-03Cagnes-sur-Mer?5th5th0
2026-07-06Cagnes-sur-Mer?4th4th0
2026-06-16Hyeres?8th8th0
2026-05-21Salon-De-Provence45th6th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0516/066/073/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength67%

Delivery trend +2.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/05/20265th66/10%71%+0.71
16/06/20268th66/10%30%+0.30
06/07/20264th33/10%79%+0.79
03/08/20265th40/10%64%+0.64