6

Nitro Deuge

3yo Filly · 0-0

Cavaillon · Prix De La Federation Nationale - Attele · 1m 4f 203y

#10

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Argentan 06/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 06/02618 @ Vincennes 20/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Vire 18/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 018/03C?C0 @ Strasbourg 13/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Nancy 29/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 029/05C?3 @ Divonne Les Bains 20/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 01/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 01/09C?C0 @ Reims 13/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 013/09C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Reims?5th5th0
2026-09-01Vincennes?11th11th0
2026-08-20Divonne Les Bains35th5th0
2026-05-29Nancy?4th4th0
2026-05-13Strasbourg?3rd3rd0
2026-03-18Vire?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0213/051/0913/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength38%

Delivery trend -2.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/02/20265th50/10%67%+0.67
20/02/20268th22/10%22%+0.22
18/03/20264th66/10%80%+0.80
13/05/20263rd14/126%80%+0.54
29/05/20264th33/10%63%+0.63
20/08/20265th50/10%50%+0.50
01/09/202611th40/10%9%+0.09
13/09/20265th40/10%56%+0.56