6

Nitro Deuge
3yo Filly · 0-0
Cavaillon · Prix De La Federation Nationale - Attele · 1m 4f 203y
#10
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Reims | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Vincennes | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Divonne Les Bains | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Nancy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Vire | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength38%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 20/02/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 18/03/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 13/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 20/08/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 01/09/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 13/09/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |