3
Nolann Des Agets
3yo Colt · 0-0
Cavaillon · Prix De La Federation Nationale - Attele · 1m 4f 203y
#11
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Hyeres | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Marseille-borely | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-27 | Hyeres | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength33%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 17/02/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 07/03/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/05/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 21/05/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 27/05/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 05/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 03/08/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 10/08/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |