10

Noria De Bertrange

3yo Filly · 0-0

Cavaillon · Prix De La Federation Nationale - Attele · 1m 4f 203y

#7

Rank

Odds

55/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Salon-De-Provence 25/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 025/10C?4 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 05/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 05/0143 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 28/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 028/013C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 25/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 025/02C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 07/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 07/03C?3 @ Marseille-borely 15/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 015/053C0 @ Marseille-borely 03/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 03/06C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-03Marseille-borely?6th6th0
2026-05-15Marseille-borely35th5th0
2026-03-07Cagnes-sur-Mer?4th4th0
2026-02-25Cagnes-sur-Mer?6th6th0
2026-02-12Cagnes-sur-Mer2+1
2026-01-28Cagnes-sur-Mer34th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/1025/023/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength39%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/10/20255th66/10%64%+0.64
05/01/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
28/01/20264th12/137%57%+0.20
25/02/20266th50/10%50%+0.50
07/03/20264th50/10%50%+0.50
15/05/20265th33/10%60%+0.60
03/06/20266th33/10%29%+0.29