11
Nouveau Prodige
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Cavaillon · Prix De La Federation Nationale - Attele · 1m 4f 203y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 1.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Feurs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Saint Galmier | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Feurs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength89%
Delivery trend -15.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 12/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 91% | +0.49 |
| 28/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 88% | +0.45 |