10
Idoctro De Houelle
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Cavaillon · Prix Paseo Transport - Attele · 1m 4f 121y
#2
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.7
Today: 6
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Hyeres | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Hyeres | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Marseille-borely | 7 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-07 | Marseille-borely | 7 | −1 | ||
| 2026-04-07 | Cavaillon | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength38%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2024 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 36% | -0.06 |
| 11/04/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 01/06/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 04/07/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 62% | -0.17 |
| 07/04/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 19/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 73% | -0.06 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 22/08/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |