7

Impact De L'iton

8yo Gelding · 0-0

Cavaillon · Prix Paseo Transport - Attele · 1m 4f 121y

#7

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cherbourg 25/09/2024 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 025/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 12/11/2024 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 19/11/2024 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 019/11C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 24/02/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Amiens 10/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f91y Std 010/07C?C0 @ La Capelle 31/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 07/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 07/03C?C0 @ Vichy 24/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 30/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 030/06C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Lyon-Parilly4+2
2026-08-20Divonne Les Bains60
2026-06-30Vichy?2nd2nd0
2026-06-24Vichy?5th5th0
2026-05-20Le Croise-Laroche?0
2026-03-07Le Croise-Laroche?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0924/027/0330/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength16%

Delivery trend -1.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/09/20246th11/142%67%+0.25
12/11/202410th25/10%25%+0.25
19/11/20247th28/10%54%+0.54
24/02/20259th40/10%47%+0.47
10/07/20258th12/137%36%-0.00
31/07/20257th10/147%50%+0.03
07/03/202610th66/10%18%+0.18
24/06/20265th12/137%56%+0.19
30/06/20262nd8/158%90%+0.32