7

Impact De L'iton
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Cavaillon · Prix Paseo Transport - Attele · 1m 4f 121y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | +2 | ||
| 2026-08-20 | Divonne Les Bains | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-30 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-07 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength16%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2024 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 12/11/2024 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 19/11/2024 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 24/02/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 10/07/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.00 |
| 31/07/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 07/03/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 24/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 30/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 90% | +0.32 |