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5

Jerez

7yo Gelding · 0-0

Cavaillon · Prix Paseo Transport - Attele · 1m 4f 121y

#6

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Meslay Du Maine 10/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 010/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 14/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 06 @ Marseille-borely 15/05/2026 · Pos 14th of 17 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 015/056C0 @ Marseille-borely 24/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 0C0 @ Hyeres 05/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 05/07C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 27/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0C0 @ Hyeres 12/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 012/08C?6 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 15/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 19/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 019/08C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Cagnes-sur-Mer?8th8th0
2026-08-15Cagnes-sur-Mer66th6th0
2026-08-12Hyeres?9th9th0
2026-07-27Cagnes-sur-Mer?8th8th0
2026-07-05Hyeres?4th4th0
2026-06-24Marseille-borely?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0924/0612/0819/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength60%

Delivery trend +7.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/09/20252nd9/276%93%+0.17
14/10/202512th9/488%15%-0.73
15/05/202614th100/10%19%+0.19
24/06/202610th20/10%18%+0.18
05/07/20264th50/10%57%+0.57
27/07/20268th50/10%30%+0.30
12/08/20269th20/10%47%+0.47
15/08/20266th40/10%44%+0.44
19/08/20268th50/10%30%+0.30