5
Manou Du Chene
4yo Filly · 0-0
Cavaillon · Prix Emile Ribal - Attele · 1m 4f 121y
#5
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 9.4 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C8.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -5.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-08-26 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Enghien | 18 | 5th | 23th | −15 |
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | 4 | −1 | ||
| 2026-05-12 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 10/02/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 22/02/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 21/04/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 12/05/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 29/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 26/08/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 64% | +0.09 |
| 04/09/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |