2
Mogador Bleu
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Cavaillon · Prix Emile Ribal - Attele · 1m 4f 121y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
99%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-25 | Vichy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-12 | Feurs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Marseille-borely | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Cavaillon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 13/12/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 87% | +0.02 |
| 10/01/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 88% | -0.05 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 07/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 63% | -0.24 |
| 12/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 25/08/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 80% | +0.75 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |