5

Kourouka Blue

6yo Mare · 0-0

Cavaillon · Prix Maurice Uzel - Attele · 1m 4f 121y

#9

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Toulouse 27/03/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 027/03C?C0 @ Salon-De-Provence 22/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 139C0 @ Vincennes 24/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13924/06C?C0 @ Feurs 04/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f13y Std 139C0 @ Marseille-borely 23/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 023/11C?C0 @ Marseille 18/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Lyon La Soie 09/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1259/03C?C0 @ Marseille-borely 17/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 1436 @ Lyon-Parilly 04/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04/096projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Lyon-Parilly66th7th1
2026-05-01Hyeres72
2026-04-24Marseille-borely61
2026-04-17Marseille-borely?5th5th0
2026-03-22Agen?0
2026-03-09Lyon La Soie?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/034/079/034/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength43%

Delivery trend +7.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/03/20258th9/153%50%-0.03
22/05/20252nd2/189%88%-0.02
24/06/20256th6/168%38%-0.31
04/07/20257th6/168%33%-0.35
23/11/202511th80/10%0%0.00
18/01/20262nd22/10%86%+0.86
09/03/20265th8/158%64%+0.06
17/04/20265th15/261%43%-0.18
04/09/20266th66/10%67%+0.67