4

Kansas De Castelle
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Cavaillon · Prix De La Societe Du Trotteur Francais - Attele · 1m 4f 121y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
24%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | +2 | ||
| 2026-08-10 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-25 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Hyeres | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Nancy | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength75%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 94% | +0.18 |
| 26/07/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 92% | -0.03 |
| 30/11/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 69% | -0.18 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 13/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 83% | -0.10 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 88% | -0.06 |
| 23/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 92% | -0.01 |