3
Knock Out
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Cavaillon · Prix De La Societe Du Trotteur Francais - Attele · 1m 4f 121y
#9
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Cabourg | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-11 | Enghien | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Laval | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2026-05-22 | Graignes | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Argentan | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 10/10/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 30/10/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 25/03/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 23/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |
| 11/05/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 62% | +0.56 |
| 07/08/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |