1

Icare File

8yo Gelding · 0-0

Cavaillon · Grand Prix De Trot De Cavaillon - Attele · 1m 4f 203y

#10

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Marseille 11/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 011/12C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 27/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 06 @ Marseille 13/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 013/0165 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 31/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 03/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 03/03C?C0 @ Nimes 17/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Hyeres 27/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 027/05C?C0 @ Hyeres 12/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 03/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 03/08C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Cagnes-sur-Mer52
2026-08-03Cagnes-sur-Mer?7th7th0
2026-07-12Hyeres?5th5th0
2026-05-27Hyeres?3rd3rd0
2026-05-17Nimes?5th5th0
2026-05-01Hyeres52

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1231/0127/053/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength39%

Delivery trend +1.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/12/20255th50/10%71%+0.71
27/12/20252nd7/163%93%+0.30
13/01/20262nd10/382%92%+0.09
31/01/20262nd3/184%93%+0.09
03/03/20266th9/276%50%-0.26
17/05/20265th33/10%71%+0.71
27/05/20263rd10/147%75%+0.28
12/07/20265th25/10%64%+0.64
03/08/20267th40/10%40%+0.40