1

Icare File
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Cavaillon · Grand Prix De Trot De Cavaillon - Attele · 1m 4f 203y
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 5 | −2 | ||
| 2026-08-03 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Hyeres | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Hyeres | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Nimes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Hyeres | 5 | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength39%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 27/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |
| 13/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 92% | +0.09 |
| 31/01/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 93% | +0.09 |
| 03/03/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 17/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 03/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |