Jlodiamond
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 73
Charles Town · Race 1 - Claiming · 4f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-28 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-05-08 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-04-03 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-03-08 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 7th | 5/6 | 96% | 0% | -0.96 |
| 22/01/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 19/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 08/03/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 03/04/2026 | 5th | 5/6 | 96% | 20% | -0.76 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 19/06/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 14% | -0.54 |
| 28/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 67% | -0.29 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |