2
Julie Belle
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 43
Charles Town · Race 1 - Claiming · 4f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength33%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 27/02/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 29/03/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 19/04/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 15/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |