7
Remy's Hotshot
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 60
Charles Town · Race 1 - Claiming · 4f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-21 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-06-05 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength99%
Delivery trend +9.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 15/03/2025 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 04/04/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 05/06/2025 | 6th | 5/4 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 21/06/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 07/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |