3
Ruby Bay
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 65
Charles Town · Race 1 - Claiming · 4f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 02/11/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/11/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 07/03/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 11/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 01/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 19/06/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 14% | -0.59 |
| 31/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |