6
Judy G
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 42
Charles Town · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength33%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 27/02/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 44% | -0.24 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 21/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 26/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |