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Justice You Say

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 24

Charles Town · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Charles Town 30/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 28 · 7f 126 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 28 par30/04C9OR 28C9 @ Charles Town 16/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 30 · 7f Fas 126 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 30 parC9 @ Charles Town 29/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 29 · 4f110y Fas 126 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 29 par29/05C9OR 29C9 @ Charles Town 07/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 25 · 6f110y 126 · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 25 parC9 @ Charles Town 21/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 26 · 4f110y 126 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 26 par21/06C9OR 26C9 @ Charles Town 05/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 23 · 6f110y Slo 126 · beat its mark05/07/2026 · OR 23 parC9 @ Charles Town 12/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 28 · 4f110y Slo 126 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 28 par12/07C9OR 28C9 @ Charles Town 25/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 26 · 7f 126 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 26 parC9 @ Charles Town 16/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 25 · 6f110y 126 · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 25 par16/08C9OR 25projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Charles Town?6th6th0
2026-07-25Charles Town?4th4th0
2026-07-12Charles Town?5th5th0
2026-07-05Charles Town?5th5th0
2026-06-21Charles Town?5th5th0
2026-06-07Charles Town?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/047/0612/0716/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength42%

Delivery trend +2.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/04/20262nd12/137%80%+0.43
16/05/20267th33/10%0%0.00
29/05/20267th25/10%33%+0.33
07/06/20266th33/10%17%+0.17
21/06/20265th25/10%50%+0.50
05/07/20265th16/116%20%+0.04
12/07/20265th33/10%33%+0.33
25/07/20264th25/10%50%+0.50
16/08/20266th40/10%44%+0.44