3

Super Wicked
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 30
Charles Town · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength42%
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/2023 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 21/07/2023 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/12/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 15/01/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 16/08/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |