3

Super Wicked

6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 30

Charles Town · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Charles Town 10/06/2023 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 113 · 4f110y Fas 116 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/06/2023 · OR 113 par10/06C6OR 113C9 @ Charles Town 21/07/2023 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 24 · 6f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark21/07/2023 · OR 24 parC9 @ Charles Town 11/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 21 · 7f 126 · beat its mark11/12/2025 · OR 21 par11/12C9OR 21C9 @ Charles Town 15/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 28 · 6f110y Fas 126 · beat its mark15/01/2026 · OR 28 parC9 @ Charles Town 31/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 28 · 6f110y 124 · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 28 par31/05C9OR 28C9 @ Charles Town 05/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 28 · 6f110y Slo 124 · beat its mark05/07/2026 · OR 28 parC9 @ Charles Town 25/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 20 · 7f 126 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 20 par25/07C9OR 20C9 @ Charles Town 16/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 32 · 6f110y 124 · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 32 par16/08C9OR 32projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Charles Town?3rd3rd0
2026-07-25Charles Town?6th6th0
2026-07-05Charles Town?6th6th0
2026-05-31Charles Town?6th6th0
2026-01-15Charles Town?7th7th0
2025-12-11Charles Town?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0615/0125/0716/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength42%

Delivery trend +3.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/06/20237th50/10%14%+0.14
21/07/20236th33/10%0%0.00
11/12/20254th40/10%57%+0.57
15/01/20267th20/10%25%+0.25
31/05/20266th20/10%0%0.00
05/07/20266th20/10%0%0.00
25/07/20266th40/10%17%+0.17
16/08/20263rd40/10%78%+0.78