7
Kopiana
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 66
Churchill Downs · Race 10 - Maiden Claiming · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Churchill Downs | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength87%
Delivery trend +7.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 03/04/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 64% | -0.22 |
| 30/04/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 14/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |