8
Acousticat
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 82
Churchill Downs · Race 2 - Starter Allowance · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-26 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Turfway Park | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-01-03 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength29%
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 29/09/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 16/10/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 03/01/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 55% | -0.22 |
| 14/02/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 26/02/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 07/05/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |