7
Rotisserie
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 67
Churchill Downs · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Keeneland | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
Delivery trend -11.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 11/02/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 12/03/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 09/04/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 07/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 29/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 12/07/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 16/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |