8
Wild Acclaim
6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 85
Churchill Downs · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Ellis Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Ellis Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength54%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |
| 20/12/2025 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 15/02/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 05/03/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 24/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |