Battle Call
7yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 102
Churchill Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/11/2024 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 27/04/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 01/06/2025 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 60% | -0.33 |
| 29/06/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 02/08/2025 | 2nd | 8/13 | 97% | 88% | -0.09 |
| 03/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 88% | -0.03 |
| 25/06/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |