Charge For Gold
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 106
Churchill Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#11
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Del Mar | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-02-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-01-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 26/07/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 16/08/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 04/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |
| 15/01/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 22/02/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |
| 11/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 20/07/2026 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 18% | -0.53 |