War Officer
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 102
Churchill Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-08-08 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2026-06-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-01-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 11% | -0.42 |
| 09/10/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 23/10/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 29/01/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 26/02/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.28 |
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 70% | +0.54 |
| 26/06/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 08/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |