Tap Me A Song
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 96
Churchill Downs · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
18%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Ellis Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ellis Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 05/11/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 22/02/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 10/04/2026 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 03/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 5/4 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 09/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |