Classic Joke
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 98
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-11-21 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-11-09 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-10-31 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 08/08/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 11/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 83% | -0.10 |
| 31/10/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 09/11/2025 | 1st | 1/7 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 21/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 88% | -0.06 |
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |