2

Just Call Ray

7yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 70

Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength39%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Laurel Park 06/12/2024 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 102 · 7f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/12/2024 · OR 102 par6/12C6OR 102C8 @ Aqueduct 23/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 99 · 1m1f Fas 123 · below its mark23/02/2025 · OR 99 parC6 @ Colonial Downs 15/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 96 · 1m Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/03/2025 · OR 96 par15/03C6OR 96C8 @ Aqueduct 26/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 96 · 1m Fas 123 · below its mark26/04/2025 · OR 96 parC6 @ Penn National 10/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 103 · 1m110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/07/2025 · OR 103 par10/07C6OR 103C6 @ Delaware Park 23/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 102 · 1m70y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/08/2025 · OR 102 parC6 @ Penn National 13/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 98 · 1m 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/11/2025 · OR 98 par13/11C6OR 98C8 @ Penn National 13/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 95 · 1m70y 121 · below its mark13/12/2025 · OR 95 parC8 @ Delaware Park 12/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 71 · 1m70y 124 · below its mark12/09/2026 · OR 71 par12/09C8OR 71projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Delaware Park?6th6th0
2025-12-13Penn National?5th5th0
2025-11-13Penn National?7th5th+2
2025-08-23Delaware Park?7th5th+2
2025-07-10Penn National?1st-1th+2
2025-04-26Aqueduct?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/1226/0413/1112/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 9-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -8.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/12/20244th5/174%57%-0.17
23/02/20252nd20/10%83%+0.83
15/03/20253rd9/276%50%-0.26
26/04/20255th8/158%20%-0.38
10/07/20251st4/596%100%+0.04
23/08/20257th7/282%0%-0.82
13/11/20257th7/282%14%-0.67
13/12/20255th10/147%0%-0.47
12/09/20266th10/147%29%-0.19