5
Starship Mocha
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 84
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength83%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/05/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 21/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 30/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 07/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |