Venezuelan Triumph
7yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 71
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-09-05 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 07/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 13/09/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |