Literary
7yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 75
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
7/5
Win Prob
21%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-12-18 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-10-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-09-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/2024 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 28/12/2024 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 29/01/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |
| 05/08/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 23/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 15/10/2025 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 11/11/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 18/12/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 55% | +0.18 |
| 28/03/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |