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Rolls Royce Joyce

9yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 62

Delaware Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Penn National 03/08/2023 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 76 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/08/2023 · OR 76 par3/08C5OR 76C8 @ Penn National 26/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 70 · 6f Fas 118 · below its mark26/02/2026 · OR 70 par26/02C8OR 70C8 @ Penn National 26/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 3 · OR 58 · 6f Fas 125 · below its mark26/08/2026 · OR 58 par26/08C8OR 58projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Penn National?2nd2nd0
2026-02-26Penn National?7th7th0
2023-08-03Penn National?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0826/0226/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength20%

Delivery trend +2.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/08/20236th13/266%17%-0.49
26/02/20267th12/137%0%-0.37
26/08/20262nd5/493%50%-0.43