2
Cobble Road
8yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 80
Delaware Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-08-17 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-07-05 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-04-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-04-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/2022 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 05/08/2022 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 14/03/2024 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 05/04/2024 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 21/04/2024 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 05/07/2024 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 17/08/2024 | 5th | 5/4 | 93% | 43% | -0.51 |
| 08/08/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 27/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |