Curlins Cruzin
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 84
Delaware Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
18%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06/2024 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 18/08/2024 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 19/07/2025 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 11/09/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |