7
Ecumenical
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 78
Delaware Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength14%
Delivery trend -7.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 10/01/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 04/02/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 01/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 22/03/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 9/5 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 28/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |