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5

I See You Lookin

5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 77

Delaware Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

30%

Place Prob

27%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength67%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Aqueduct 16/01/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 87 · 1m1f Fas 123 · below its mark16/01/2025 · OR 87 par16/01C8OR 87C8 @ Aqueduct 09/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 82 · 7f Gd 123 · below its mark09/02/2025 · OR 82 parC8 @ Aqueduct 21/02/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 76 · 6f Fas 123 · beat its mark21/02/2025 · OR 76 par21/02C8OR 76C7 @ Belmont At The Big A 02/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 88 · 6f Fm 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/05/2025 · OR 88 parC7 @ Belmont At The Big A 27/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 88 · 6f Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/06/2025 · OR 88 par27/06C7OR 88C5 @ Penn National 01/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 91 · 5f 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/07/2026 · OR 91 parC5 @ Penn National 31/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 89 · 6f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/07/2026 · OR 89 par31/07C5OR 89C8 @ Delaware Park 13/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 83 · 6f 122 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 83 parC5 @ Penn National 04/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 3 · OR 85 · 1m110y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 85 par4/09C5OR 85projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Penn National?3rd0th+3
2026-08-13Delaware Park?1st1st0
2026-07-31Penn National?5th2nd+3
2026-07-01Penn National?6th3rd+3
2025-06-27Belmont At The Big A?6th5th+1
2025-05-02Belmont At The Big A?3rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/012/0531/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength47%

Delivery trend -5.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/01/20258th20/10%0%0.00
09/02/20253rd5/287%60%-0.27
21/02/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
02/05/20253rd10/147%78%+0.30
27/06/20256th13/266%17%-0.49
01/07/20266th8/158%0%-0.58
31/07/20265th14/126%20%-0.06
13/08/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
04/09/20263rd5/174%0%-0.74