4
Inter Miami
9yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 78
Delaware Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
44%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength58%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 19/03/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 02/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 21/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 20% | -0.66 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 09/09/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |