8
Blushing Princess
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 61
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y
#10
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength64%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-04-04 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +32.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 13/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |